Smart Investing Today – Your Stock Market Market Digest
Is Natural Gas Heading for a Breakdown?
On July 26, 2017, natural gas September futures fell 0.6% and closed at $2.91 per MMBtu. On July 19 26, 2017, natural gas September futures fell 4.6%.
Boeing Overtakes Goldman as Priciest Dow Stock
Boeing Co.’s biggest stock advance in eight years means that the aerospace company is now the most influential member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
'I'm going to issue a warning': Howard Marks' outlines the dangers of today's market
One of the most revered investing pros in the business has a sober warning for markets: It is time to be cautious.
Precious Metals Snapshot
- Gold Spot Price: $1,262.30 per ounce
- Silver Spot Price: $16.71 per ounce
- Platinum Spot Price: $929.00 per ounce
- Palladium Spot Price: $882.10 per ounce
Gold & Silver Spotlight
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) share price is $119.79, which is 1.1% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $118.52
The RSI is 61.67 which suggests that SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is technicallyneither overbought nor oversold.
Based on the share price being above its 5, 20 & 50 day exponential moving averages, the current trend is considered strongly bullish and GLD is experiencing slight buying pressure.
According to the MACD, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is currently on a Sell Signal.
Over the next 4 weeks, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has on average historically risen by 0.2% based on the past 12 years of stock performance.
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has risen higherby an average 0.2%in 6 of those 12 years over the subsequent 4 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%
SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) share price is $15.68, which is 0.1% below its 50-day exponential moving average of $15.70
The RSI is 57.95 which suggests that SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) is technicallyneither overbought nor oversold.
The current trend is relatively stagnant and SLV is experiencing selling pressure, which indicates risk of future bearish movement.
According to the MACD, SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) is currently on a Sell Signal.
Over the next 4 weeks, SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) has on average historically fallen by 0.7% based on the past 11 years of stock performance.
SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) has fallen lowerby an average 0.7%in 4 of those 11 years over the subsequent 4 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 36%
Trending Stocks On The Move
Tree.Com, Inc. (TREE) share price is $217.15, which is 14.6% above its 8-day exponential moving average of $189.49
Tree.Com, Inc. (TREE) share price is $217.15, which is 26.8% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $171.23
According to the MACD, Tree.Com, Inc. (TREE) is currently on a Buy Signal.
Netgear Inc. (NTGR) share price is $49.3, which is 8.9% above its 8-day exponential moving average of $45.28
Netgear Inc. (NTGR) share price is $49.3, which is 10.9% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $44.47
According to the MACD, Netgear Inc. (NTGR) is currently on a Buy Signal.
Graco Inc. (GGG) share price is $115.39, which is 5.4% above its 8-day exponential moving average of $109.43
Graco Inc. (GGG) share price is $115.39, which is 5.9% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $108.96
According to the MACD, Graco Inc. (GGG) is currently on a Sell Signal.
The VIX figure is 10.11. This is 42% below the historic median figure of 17.44.
The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. Historically, VIX levels above 50 correlate closely with periods of stock market panic while VIX levels below 20 are more typical during relatively calm periods in the market.
The 10,000 Foot Economic View
Total Market Cap / GDP
The ratio of the Total Market Capitalization (Wilshire 5000) to United States GDP is 1.3351. This is 50.8% above the historic median figure of 0.89.
The higher the Market Cap/GDP figure is relative to its median level, the higher the perceived risk in the market. Markets can remain overvalued for extended time periods.
The S&P Earnings is 94.59. This is 68.5% above the historic median figure of 56.14.
The higher the S&P Earnings are above their median level, the higher the perceived risk in the market.
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