Smart Investing Today – Your Stock Market Market Digest
Why Did Crude Oil Prices Hit a 3-Month Low?
Crude oil (USO) (IXC) (XES) was trading near a 20-month high on March 7. US crude oil prices posted their biggest one-day decline in the last 13 months.
A March Fed Hike Would Be A Vote Of Confidence In Trumponomics
As recent as August of last year, the Fed messaging was quite dovish. What’s the biggest difference between now and then? The prospects of major fiscal stimulus–precisely what they say they are leaving out of their forecasts for now.
Ross: Uncertainty under Trump ‘helps us have our cake and…
Brendan Ross, Direct Lending Investments president and founder, discusses why President Trump should be to thank for strong jobs numbers. With the “Fast Money” traders.
Precious Metals Snapshot
- Gold Spot Price: $1,201.30 per ounce
- Silver Spot Price: $17.01 per ounce
- Platinum Spot Price: $938.90 per ounce
- Palladium Spot Price: $747.40 per ounce
Gold & Silver Spotlight
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) share price is $115.06, which is 0.8% below its 50-day exponential moving average of $116.04
The RSI is 38.93 which suggests that SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is technicallyneither overbought nor oversold.
Based on the share price being below its 5, 20 & 50 day exponential moving averages, the current trend is considered strongly bearish and GLD is experiencing slight selling pressure.
According to the MACD, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is currently on a Sell Signal.
Over the next 4 weeks, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has on average historically fallen by 0.8% based on the past 12 years of stock performance.
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has fallen lowerby an average 0.8%in 6 of those 12 years over the subsequent 4 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%
SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) share price is $16.32, which is 1.7% below its 50-day exponential moving average of $16.60
The RSI is 39.05 which suggests that SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) is technicallyneither overbought nor oversold.
Based on the share price being below its 5, 20 & 50 day exponential moving averages, the current trend is considered strongly bearish and SLV is experiencing selling pressure, which indicates risk of future bearish movement.
According to the MACD, SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) is currently on a Sell Signal.
Over the next 4 weeks, SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) has on average historically fallen by 1.3% based on the past 10 years of stock performance.
SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) has fallen lowerby an average 1.3%in 4 of those 10 years over the subsequent 4 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 40%
Trending Stocks On The Move
MGP Ingredients Inc. (MGPI) share price is $49.16, which is 8.9% above its 8-day exponential moving average of $45.13
MGP Ingredients Inc. (MGPI) share price is $49.16, which is 8.9% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $45.13
According to the MACD, MGP Ingredients Inc. (MGPI) is currently on a Buy Signal.
ESPERION THERAPEUTICS (ESPR) share price is $34.02, which is 67.3% above its 8-day exponential moving average of $20.34
ESPERION THERAPEUTICS (ESPR) share price is $34.02, which is 67.3% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $20.34
According to the MACD, ESPERION THERAPEUTICS (ESPR) is currently on a Buy Signal.
TripAdvisor (TRIP) share price is $43.83, which is 8.3% below its 8-day exponential moving average of $47.79
TripAdvisor (TRIP) share price is $43.83, which is 8.3% below its 50-day exponential moving average of $47.79
According to the MACD, TripAdvisor (TRIP) is currently on a Sell Signal.
The VIX figure is 11.86. This is 32.4% below the historic median figure of 17.54.
The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. Historically, VIX levels above 50 correlate closely with periods of stock market panic while VIX levels below 20 are more typical during relatively calm periods in the market.
The 10,000 Foot Economic View
Total Market Cap / GDP
The ratio of the Total Market Capitalization (Wilshire 5000) to United States GDP is 1.3026. This is 48.2% above the historic median figure of 0.88.
The higher the Market Cap/GDP figure is relative to its median level, the higher the perceived risk in the market. Markets can remain overvalued for extended time periods.
The S&P Earnings is 94.59. This is 69.4% above the historic median figure of 55.84.
The higher the S&P Earnings are above their median level, the higher the perceived risk in the market.
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