Smart Investing Today – Your Stock Market Market Digest
Does the Fed’s Rate Hike Indicate a Stronger Economy?
On March 15, 2017, the Fed announced its much-awaited interest rate hike the first increase this year. It’s the third rate hike in the past decade.
How Shell’s Dividend Yield Compares
Shell’s dividend yield As Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) has consistently given returns to shareholders in the form of dividends, we’ve evaluated its dividend yield. Yield is calculated as a ratio
Beware the Ides of March? Dow Dips as Stocks Finally Feel the Fed
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped today as the stock market rested following yesterday’s post-Fed rally. The S&P 500 declined 0.2% to 2,381.38 today, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 15.55 points, or 0.1%, to 20,934.55. The Nasdaq Composite closed little changed at 5,900.76.
Precious Metals Snapshot
- Gold Spot Price: $1,232.80 per ounce
- Silver Spot Price: $17.44 per ounce
- Platinum Spot Price: $962.90 per ounce
- Palladium Spot Price: $779.80 per ounce
Gold & Silver Spotlight
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) share price is $116.73, which is 0.7% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $115.86
The RSI is 52.67 which suggests that SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is technicallyneither overbought nor oversold.
Based on the share price being above its 5, 20 & 50 day exponential moving averages, the current trend is considered strongly bullish and GLD is experiencing selling pressure, which indicates risk of future bearish movement.
According to the MACD, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is currently on a Sell Signal.
Over the next 4 weeks, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has on average historically risen by 0.2% based on the past 12 years of stock performance.
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has risen higherby an average 0.2%in 6 of those 12 years over the subsequent 4 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%
SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) share price is $16.4, which is 0.7% below its 50-day exponential moving average of $16.51
The RSI is 45.80 which suggests that SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) is technicallyneither overbought nor oversold.
Based on the share price being below its 5, 20 & 50 day exponential moving averages, the current trend is considered strongly bearish and SLV is experiencing slight selling pressure.
According to the MACD, SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) is currently on a Sell Signal.
Over the next 4 weeks, SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) has on average historically fallen by 0.4% based on the past 10 years of stock performance.
SPDR Silver Shares (SLV) has fallen lowerby an average 0.4%in 4 of those 10 years over the subsequent 4 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 40%
Trending Stocks On The Move
Oracle (ORCL) share price is $45.73, which is 5.4% above its 8-day exponential moving average of $43.39
Oracle (ORCL) share price is $45.73, which is 10.1% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $41.54
According to the MACD, Oracle (ORCL) is currently on a Buy Signal.
China Lodging Group, Limited (HTHT) share price is $62.22, which is 5.8% above its 8-day exponential moving average of $58.82
China Lodging Group, Limited (HTHT) share price is $62.22, which is 12.3% above its 50-day exponential moving average of $55.41
According to the MACD, China Lodging Group, Limited (HTHT) is currently on a Buy Signal.
The VIX figure is 11.21. This is 36.1% below the historic median figure of 17.54.
The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. Historically, VIX levels above 50 correlate closely with periods of stock market panic while VIX levels below 20 are more typical during relatively calm periods in the market.
The 10,000 Foot Economic View
Total Market Cap / GDP
Chart for Total Market Cap / GDP
The ratio of the Total Market Capitalization (Wilshire 5000) to United States GDP is 1.3150. This is 49.5% above the historic median figure of 0.88.
The higher the Market Cap/GDP figure is relative to its median level, the higher the perceived risk in the market. Markets can remain overvalued for extended time periods.
The S&P Earnings is 94.59. This is 69.4% above the historic median figure of 55.84.
The higher the S&P Earnings are above their median level, the higher the perceived risk in the market.
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